Data Note: What if Per Enrollee Medicaid Spending Growth Had Been Limited to CPI-M from 2001-2011?
| Table 1: Estimated Change in Federal Medicaid Spending under Federal Per Capita Cap, 2001-2011 ($ in millions) | |||||
| State | Aged | People with Disabilities | Adults | Children | Total |
| US Total | $(5,712) | $(47,194) | $(27,839) | $(46,983) | $(127,730) |
| Alabama | $(466) | $(514) | $(134) | $(1,824) | $(2,939) |
| Alaska | $(302) | $(339) | $(122) | $(420) | $(1,183) |
| Arizona | $1,639 | $(2,287) | $(1,446) | $(4,654) | $(6,747) |
| Arkansas | $(1,601) | $(1,264) | $(349) | $(638) | $(3,853) |
| California | $(7,188) | $(10,335) | $(913) | $(2,827) | $(21,263) |
| Colorado | $90 | $114 | $(23) | $903 | $1,085 |
| Connecticut | $271 | $(220) | $(174) | $(51) | $(174) |
| Delaware | $(198) | $(4) | $(298) | $(106) | $(607) |
| DC | $(253) | $(505) | $(246) | $(101) | $(1,105) |
| Florida | $(3,836) | $(5,386) | $(1,557) | $(2,504) | $(13,283) |
| Georgia | $(2,308) | $(1,665) | $(1,815) | $(761) | $(6,549) |
| Hawaii | $(86) | $(407) | $(290) | $344 | $(439) |
| Idaho | $93 | $(140) | $(109) | $(367) | $(523) |
| Illinois | $4,605 | $2,995 | $(28) | $(765) | $6,807 |
| Indiana | $(427) | $(899) | $(473) | $(642) | $(2,440) |
| Iowa | $218 | $150 | $158 | $(51) | $476 |
| Kansas | $55 | $867 | $(31) | $(466) | $425 |
| Kentucky | $(137) | $(1,185) | $(917) | $(943) | $(3,182) |
| Louisiana | $(1,577) | $(3,545) | $(466) | $(1,662) | $(7,250) |
| Maine | $(78) | $1,214 | $23 | $48 | $1,207 |
| Maryland | $(967) | $(2,575) | $(1,046) | $(1,108) | $(5,696) |
| Massachusetts | $(1,120) | $4,516 | $(1,217) | $(2,961) | $(782) |
| Michigan | $4,263 | $(178) | $538 | $1,563 | $6,185 |
| Minnesota | $411 | $(1,491) | $(987) | $(1,370) | $(3,437) |
| Mississippi | $(1,913) | $(2,178) | $(83) | $(484) | $(4,658) |
| Missouri | $24 | $(1,186) | $(1,671) | $(2,958) | $(5,791) |
| Montana | $(132) | $(122) | $(60) | $(160) | $(474) |
| Nebraska | $507 | $50 | $(115) | $(434) | $7 |
| Nevada | $(167) | $(511) | $(26) | $(42) | $(747) |
| New Hampshire | $(5) | $649 | $(8) | $90 | $727 |
| New Jersey | $627 | $(772) | $(487) | $(506) | $(1,138) |
| New Mexico | $(635) | $(1,764) | $(911) | $(1,809) | $(5,119) |
| New York | $3,440 | $(6,524) | $1,724 | $2,357 | $996 |
| North Carolina | $(177) | $(2,148) | $(1,125) | $(3,400) | $(6,850) |
| North Dakota | $(32) | $218 | $(2) | $28 | $212 |
| Ohio | $(212) | $(2,635) | $(2,154) | $(1,429) | $(6,430) |
| Oklahoma | $(424) | $(457) | $(805) | $(875) | $(2,562) |
| Oregon | $(313) | $(615) | $(539) | $286 | $(1,181) |
| Pennsylvania | $4,410 | $(3,952) | $(3,020) | $(531) | $(3,092) |
| Rhode Island | $109 | $848 | $(242) | $(608) | $107 |
| South Carolina | $(433) | $(357) | $(811) | $(1,228) | $(2,829) |
| South Dakota | $(67) | $(147) | $(92) | $(181) | $(486) |
| Tennessee | $(3,220) | $2,109 | $(2,266) | $(1,179) | $(4,557) |
| Texas | $(1,670) | $(1,676) | $(210) | $(9,914) | $(13,469) |
| Utah | $58 | $208 | $(21) | $378 | $623 |
| Vermont | $(266) | $(212) | $(280) | $(275) | $(1,032) |
| Virginia | $38 | $(1,139) | $(784) | $(1,876) | $(3,760) |
| Washington | $2,504 | $(2,197) | $(153) | $(541) | $(386) |
| West Virginia | $(528) | $(414) | $(271) | $(708) | $(1,921) |
| Wisconsin | $1,736 | $998 | $(1,456) | $515 | $1,793 |
| Wyoming | $(73) | $(185) | $(48) | $(139) | $(445) |
| SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation and Urban Institute analysis of FFY 2000-2011 MSIS data. | |||||
| Table 2: Estimated Percent Change in Federal Medicaid Spending under Federal Per Capita Cap, 2001-2011 | |||||
| State | Aged | People with Disabilities | Adults | Children | Total |
| US Total | -1% | -6% | -14% | -12% | -7% |
| Alabama | -7% | -5% | -20% | -26% | -12% |
| Alaska | -31% | -15% | -14% | -22% | -20% |
| Arizona | 30% | -17% | -13% | -38% | -16% |
| Arkansas | -28% | -13% | -39% | -12% | -17% |
| California | -15% | -12% | -6% | -8% | -11% |
| Colorado | 2% | 2% | -1% | 24% | 7% |
| Connecticut | 3% | -2% | -7% | -1% | -1% |
| Delaware | -19% | 0% | -21% | -10% | -11% |
| DC | -12% | -10% | -20% | -6% | -11% |
| Florida | -19% | -15% | -23% | -16% | -17% |
| Georgia | -24% | -10% | -28% | -6% | -14% |
| Hawaii | -5% | -18% | -18% | 28% | -6% |
| Idaho | 7% | -3% | -21% | -21% | -7% |
| Illinois | 42% | 11% | 0% | -5% | 11% |
| Indiana | -5% | -6% | -18% | -9% | -7% |
| Iowa | 5% | 2% | 10% | -2% | 3% |
| Kansas | 2% | 13% | -3% | -17% | 3% |
| Kentucky | -2% | -8% | -25% | -12% | -10% |
| Louisiana | -25% | -19% | -25% | -23% | -21% |
| Maine | -2% | 18% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
| Maryland | -15% | -18% | -38% | -19% | -20% |
| Massachusetts | -8% | 19% | -24% | -34% | -1% |
| Michigan | 31% | -1% | 8% | 14% | 11% |
| Minnesota | 5% | -9% | -25% | -20% | -10% |
| Mississippi | -31% | -19% | -5% | -9% | -19% |
| Missouri | 0% | -6% | -45% | -28% | -14% |
| Montana | -8% | -6% | -26% | -13% | -9% |
| Nebraska | 20% | 1% | -14% | -18% | 0% |
| Nevada | -15% | -18% | -4% | -2% | -12% |
| New Hampshire | 0% | 28% | -2% | 7% | 13% |
| New Jersey | 5% | -5% | -19% | -8% | -3% |
| New Mexico | -21% | -22% | -45% | -26% | -26% |
| New York | 5% | -6% | 6% | 9% | 0% |
| North Carolina | -2% | -8% | -23% | -26% | -13% |
| North Dakota | -2% | 13% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| Ohio | -1% | -7% | -23% | -13% | -8% |
| Oklahoma | -10% | -5% | -37% | -13% | -11% |
| Oregon | -6% | -8% | -21% | 7% | -6% |
| Pennsylvania | 19% | -10% | -45% | -4% | -4% |
| Rhode Island | 7% | 20% | -31% | -36% | 1% |
| South Carolina | -7% | -3% | -29% | -18% | -10% |
| South Dakota | -7% | -8% | -24% | -16% | -11% |
| Tennessee | -46% | 10% | -21% | -11% | -9% |
| Texas | -8% | -4% | -2% | -24% | -11% |
| Utah | 5% | 4% | -2% | 13% | 6% |
| Vermont | -22% | -9% | -34% | -20% | -18% |
| Virginia | 1% | -10% | -34% | -32% | -15% |
| Washington | 37% | -18% | -4% | -8% | -1% |
| West Virginia | -15% | -5% | -19% | -22% | -12% |
| Wisconsin | 16% | 7% | -34% | 13% | 5% |
| Wyoming | -13% | -16% | -27% | -23% | -18% |
| SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation and Urban Institute analysis of FFY 2000-2011 MSIS data. | |||||