Data Note: A Look At Swing Voters Leading Up To The 2020 Election
|
Table A.1: Socioeconomic Demographics of Swing Voters |
|||||
|
|
Total voters |
Swing voters |
Decided voters |
Definitely |
Definitely |
|
Race/ethnicity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
White, non-Hispanic |
68% |
70% |
68% |
83% |
55% |
|
Black, non-Hispanic |
11% |
9% |
13% |
1% |
23% |
|
Hispanic |
11% |
9% |
12% |
8% |
14% |
|
Other, non-Hispanic |
7% |
9% |
5% |
4% |
6% |
|
Gender |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
49% |
52% |
48% |
56% |
41% |
|
Female |
51% |
48% |
52% |
44% |
59% |
|
Age |
|
|
|
|
|
|
18-29 |
18% |
27% |
14% |
11% |
16% |
|
30-49 |
30% |
31% |
30% |
28% |
32% |
|
50-64 |
28% |
25% |
30% |
31% |
29% |
|
65+ |
23% |
16% |
26% |
30% |
22% |
|
Education level |
|
|
|
|
|
|
High school or less |
34% |
31% |
34% |
41% |
29% |
|
Some college |
32% |
33% |
32% |
34% |
30% |
|
College + |
34% |
36% |
33% |
25% |
40% |
|
Community type |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rural |
13% |
13% |
13% |
17% |
9% |
|
Suburban |
54% |
58% |
53% |
56% |
51% |
|
Urban |
32% |
29% |
34% |
27% |
39% |
|
Table A.2: Political Demographics of Swing Voters |
|||||
|
|
Total voters |
Swing voters |
Decided voters |
Definitely |
Definitely Democratic voters |
|
Party Identification |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents |
45% |
37% |
52% |
5% |
92% |
|
Democrat |
30% |
18% |
39% |
4% |
68% |
|
Independent/lean Dem |
15% |
18% |
14% |
1% |
24% |
|
Pure independent |
10% |
17% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
|
Independent lean Rep |
16% |
23% |
12% |
24% |
1% |
|
Republican |
27% |
21% |
32% |
67% |
2% |
|
Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents |
42% |
43% |
43% |
91% |
3% |
|
Undesignated |
2% |
3% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
Trump Approval |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly approve/somewhat approve |
44% |
44% |
45% |
95% |
3% |
|
Strongly disapprove/somewhat disapprove |
54% |
53% |
55% |
5% |
97% |
|
Ideology |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liberal |
24% |
16% |
31% |
5% |
52% |
|
Moderate |
38% |
56% |
29% |
20% |
37% |
|
Conservative |
35% |
26% |
38% |
73% |
10% |