President Trump and other GOP leaders have called for far-reaching changes to Medicaid, including caps and reductions in federal funding for the program. In 2017, Congress has been debating legislation, the American Health Care Act (AHCA), that would end the enhanced federal matching funds for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Medicaid expansion and end the guarantee of federal financing to states for all populations covered by the program. In response to substantially reduced federal funding, states may have to make reductions to their programs, including restrictions in eligibility, benefits, and/or provider payment rates if they cannot replace lost federal funding from other sources.
Today, Medicaid is a state and federal partnership with financing shared by the states and the federal government with no caps. Total federal and state Medicaid spending was about $532 billion in FY 2015. Medicaid is the second largest item in state budgets, accounting for 18.7% of state general revenue spending. Medicaid spending increased to 10.5% in 2015 with the ACA coverage expansion, but it dropped to 5.9% in 2016 and is projected to grow by 4.5% this year, and Medicaid per enrollee costs are projected to grow more slowly than costs for private insurance.
This snapshot provides data on the role Medicaid plays for different population groups as well as perspectives from individuals with coverage through the program. Medicaid, the nation’s public health insurance program for low-income children, adults, seniors, and people with disabilities, covers 1 in 5 Americans, including many with complex and costly needs for medical care and long-term services. Most people covered by Medicaid would be uninsured or underinsured without it. The AHCA would fundamentally change Medicaid in the most significant restructuring of the program since 1965.
Table 1: Average Spending Per Full-Benefit Enrollee by Percentile in Select States, FY 2014 | |||||
Percentile | Aged in Louisiana | Individuals with Disabilities in Pennsylvania | Adults in Ohio | Adults in Mississippi | Children in Oklahoma |
0-25% | $143 | $1,051 | $530 | $1,103 | $131 |
>25-50% | $1,436 | $10,846 | $2,898 | $3,625 | $735 |
>50-75% | $16,685 | $17,977 | $4,981 | $4,341 | $1,849 |
>75-90% | $39,931 | $23,432 | $6,845 | $6,293 | $4,269 |
>90-95% | $50,036 | $34,642 | $10,492 | $10,147 | $8,186 |
>95% | $70,173 | $116,515 | $20,143 | $22,205 | $24,571 |
NOTE: We selected states with spending per enrollee for the given eligibility group that was at or close to the national median. SOURCE: KFF estimates based on analysis of data from the FFY 2014 Medicaid Statistical Information System (MSIS) and Urban Institute estimates from CMS-64 reports. |